How the system works
One principle drives everything: understand where we are in the cycle before placing trades.
The NIRD Regimes
The NIRDs are four market regimes that guide your portfolio construction decisions.
- Founded on economic growth and inflation
- Tracked daily through four carefully constructed backtested portfolios of ETFs
- Enhanced with volume, volatility and survey overlays
NirvanaInflationReflationDeflation
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The Alpha Helm toolkit
Purpose-built tools that cover the full analytical stack, updated every trading day.
Macro Compass
NIRD regime charts, style factor ratios, 30-day rolling factor performance, and volatility analysis — all working together to help you identify which regimes to target and where the macro weight of evidence is pointing.
Sector Playbook
Sector tracking and long/short portfolio performance for each NIRD, a 12-factor sector ranking model covering performance, momentum, volume, and risk — plus return profiles, detailed volume flow analysis, and a 1-month rolling correlation table. Everything you need to refine your target areas before going deeper.
Outlook
A deeper layer of regime analysis built on top of the macro foundation. The Nearcast gives a probability-weighted forecast for the Sector NIRD regimes. Forward expectations captured by 20 aggregated economic surveys. Volume and volatility NIRDs show internal regime performance — so you know whether to press or protect.
Signal over narrative
Learn the system free. Go full signal when you're ready.
Free
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- Macro Market NIRD
- Style Factor Ratios
- Volatility Heatmap
- Rolling Returns
- Glossary Insights
Start by understanding the macro environment your portfolio is operating in. The NIRD regime chart, Style Factor Ratios, and Volatility Heatmap give you a clear read on whether the market is rewarding risk-on or risk-off positioning — so you're never caught holding the wrong sectors at the wrong time. It's your macro compass, completely free.
